10/26/23 European Football Betting Watch

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I might look a little crazy.
On Friday evenings, I usually just watch and check things to prepare for the weekend, so I rarely place bets. However, some matches that could help determine my weekend lines caught my eye, so I am approaching them aggressively.
Against Mönchengladbach, who are currently drawing a lot in the league, Stuttgart's Macau handicap is set at -1.5. Since it's a Bundesliga match, the Macau handicap seems excessively high, making me think we should even be cautious about the underdog.
It is a match where a complete victory for Stuttgart wouldn't be a problem, but the risk is significant.
The Ipswich match, with a Macau handicap of +0.25 and an Over/Under line of 2.75, is a match I have been considering as an extension of the previous Man City vs. Ipswich and Nottingham vs. Arsenal matches.
In my view, there are strong signals that both teams will score. I suspect the odds-makers might be anticipating the match could take a strange turn if Nottingham scores first.
Malaga, who were battered like dust on a rainy day by Sociedad last round, produced a result where even a +Handicap prediction was meaningless. This match features a Macau handicap of -0.75 with draw odds that are unusually high for La Liga.
Even considering the league's characteristics, a 2.25 Over/Under line for a match with a -0.75 handicap and high draw odds is a difficult line to understand. The way they are overemphasizing the signal that they might get crushed by Alaves—just as they were by Sociedad last week—makes me suspect an intention to hide the possibility of an underdog upset.
I am approaching these with high-dividend picks that caught my eye in preparation for the weekend; a total sweep of the underdogs is possible.
Have a great Friday night~